NIO (NIO) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030

NIO (NYSE:NIO) is one of the hottest EV car company in the world and a top 10 largest in the world (3rd largest in China). NIO stock made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange on September 12th 2018, at $6.26 per share.

Within 3 years of trading, NIO stock hit an all time high of $62.84 in February 2021 before plummeting 92% to today’s price of $4.37 per share.

While the share price run up in early 2020 was purely a momentum push, NIO brand in the EV market was not tarnished. In fact, the car company is still seen as premium EV player and one of the first companies to address range anxiety issues by creating battery swap technology as a supplement to charging.

24/7 Wall Street aims to provide readers our assumptions about the stocks prospects going forward and what growth we see in NIO stock for the next several years and what our best estimates are for NIO’s stock price each year through 2030.

Key Points in this Article: 

• NIO is the 3rd largest EV company in China
• NIO is the first EV to pioneer swappable battery packs.
• If you’re looking for a megatrend with massive potential, make sure to grab a complimentary copy of our “The Next NVIDIA” report. The report includes a complete industry map of AI investments that includes many small caps.

NIO Stock Early Stage Growth

The following is a table of NIO’s revenues, operating income and share price for the first few years as a public company.

Here’s a table summarizing performance in share price, revenues, and profits (net income) from 2014 to 2018.

Revenue and operating income  in Billion CNY (1CNY=.14 USD)

Now lets take a look at Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) the first few years it was a publicly traded company (here is Rivian’s stock price forecast):

The revenue growth for the both firms are similar but Rivian’s operating loss is more than double the yearly operating loss of NIO.

NIO contracts its manufacturing to Jianghuai Automobile Group and pays a fee for each vehicle produced in addition to fixed cost. This agreement is beneficial for a young start up in a very capital intensive market. However, when scale is reached, the variable cost model has its downsides.

3 Key Drivers of NIO’s Stock Performance

• Product Portfolio Expansion and Growing Market Share
  • New Model Launches: Similar to Tesla, NIO started off with a higher end roadster and uses the higher end models to re-invest into more affordable, mass market vehicles. NIO aims to push further into price conscience markets while also adding options for its more premium customers.
  • Add-On Services: With NIO’s battery swap technology, the company plans to roll out an innovated batter-as-a-service solution for its customer base. The company plans on building over 4,000 swap stations worldwide by the end of 2025.
• Increased Vehicle Deliveries and Market Penetration
  • Growing NEV Adoption: The market for new market vehicles (NEVs) is on the rise in China. NIO expects vehicle deliveries in 2025 to double the output from 2023 (roughly 165,000 units). This still only makes up about 2% of the Chinese NEV market and gives NIO plenty of roadway to grab market share for years to come.
  • International Expansion: NIO’s strategy includes expanding its market presence outside China. The company built its first overseas battery-swap station in Hungary in 2022 and has several service centers and NIO accessory businesses throughout Europe.
• Advancements in Technology and Customer Experience
  • Battery and Charging Solutions: NIO’s advancements in battery technology and charging solutions aim to alleviate range anxiety among consumers and helps lower the overall cost of the vehicle 15% to 30%.
  • Focus on Younger Consumers: NIOs leadership in EV technology will provide brand equity to younger-generation of drivers who value enhanced technology packages.

NIO Stock Forecast Through 2030 

Revenue in CYN millions

Compared to Rivian and Tesla, NIOs price to sales valuation will be moderately discounted. While NIO is in solid financial standing and has a premium brand image, its still uncertain how much competition the company will face in China and expanding overseas. The company is already spending a quarter of revenues on R&D and if NIO can’t capitalize on this spend, the stock price will be sluggish compared to North American EV manufacturers.

NIO Share Price Estimates 2025-2030

NIO Price Forecast and Prediction for 2024: Wall Street analysts have NIO’s stock price over the next year to be $6.94 which gives the stock a 61% upside over today’s price. Of the 26 analysts covering the stock, the consensus recommendation is a 2.07 ‘Outperform’ Score.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2025: We expect to see a revenue growth of 60% for the year, with a price-to-sales multiple of 1x, which puts our price target at $6.63.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2026: We estimate the price to be $7.80, with another strong 50%+ revenue bump. However, with EBITDA still well in the negative, we see the market not rewarding the stock as much and giving it a lower valuation multiple.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2027: We expect the stock price increase to leap forward to $13.80 with another strong 50%+ revenue growth year-over-year. That is a 97% year-over-year gain and up 278.24% from today’s stock price.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2028: We expect NIO’s P/S ratio in 2028 to be 1.5x and top-line growth of 50%. In 2028, we have NIO’s revenue coming in around $36 billion, suggesting a stock price estimate at $26.39 or a gain of 458.82% over the current stock price.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2029: 24/7 Wall Street expects NIO’s stock to continue its revenue growth and to generate $25 billion in revenue. The stock price in 2029 is estimated at $18.08, or a gain of 647.06% over today’s price.

Rivian Price Forecast and Prediction for 2030: We estimate NIO’s stock price to be $25.89 per share. Our estimated stock price will be 723.53% higher than the current stock price.

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